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Intel Announces 5G Exit: Can Qualcomm Be Apple’s Chip Supplier?
Posted on Thursday April 18, 2019
Qualcomm Surges on Apple Settlement and Intel's 5G Chip Exit(Continued from Prior Part)Intel’s exit from the 5G phone business On April 16, Intel (INTC) announced that it is planning to exit the 5G smartphone modem market, as it wants to put its
5 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for a Spring Charge
Posted on Thursday April 18, 2019
The end of the litigation between Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) sparked a fire for both of those stocks and the semiconductor sector as a whole. The renewed bullishness for semiconductor stocks could continue through to the rest of the year for one good reason -- Apple and Qualcomm agreeing to end the litigation set the stage for friendlier times among technology firms ahead. Instead of fighting for high IP royalty rates, semiconductor stocks could forge multiyear supply deals with its customers.Sure, investors could risk overpaying for stocks by blindly assuming IP deals are coming. Fortunately, Apple is a big customer and has a high demand for components, benefiting semiconductor suppliers. * 5 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees What are the five semiconductor stocks to buy for a spring charge?InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Semiconductor Stocks to Buy: Qualcomm (QCOM)Source: Shutterstock Qualcomm and Apple agreed to drop all litigation, including those with Apple's contract manufacturers. Instead, Apple will pay Qualcomm in addition to signing a six-year license agreement, effective as of Apr. 1, 2019. The companies have an option to extend the deal for another two years. Qualcomm disclosed that the deal will add $2 in incremental EPS.Even though QCOM shares rose 40% on the week, the company's fair value rises sharply thanks to the deal with Apple. At a recent price of $79, the stock is trading at a discount because the company could win more supply deals with the top Android phone makers. Competitors cannot afford to let Apple have the best technology and could order Qualcomm's latest chip solutions to stay ahead.In the near-term, QCOM stockholders get two immediate positive catalysts. First, uncertainties are no longer an overhanging to the stock because Qualcomm no longer needs to keep going to court. Second, Qualcomm has guaranteed a revenue stream for the next six years. That stability is worth paying for, especially in the cyclical semiconductor market. Intel Corporation (INTC)Source: Shutterstock The Qualcomm-Apple settlement led to shares of Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) rallying a few points. Intel announced that it would abandon 5G phone modem development. Previously, Apple was rumored to release a 5G iPhone in 2020 that used Intel's modem. But now that Apple has a deal that allows it to use Qualcomm's far superior modem instead. If Intel lost the modem business to Qualcomm, one would think INTC stock would fall, not rise.Intel's modems are generally inferior to that of QCOM-powered ones. By exiting this market, Intel will become less distracted from the mobile devices market. Instead, it may now turn its sights back on the more profitable business of CPUs in the PC and servers. * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm Intel's valuations are very attractive, too. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13x. Despite the worrying competition from Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel still has loyal customers on the consumer and business markets. Still, Intel has plenty of work ahead. It is behind on the 7nm chip manufacturing and its latest products are supply-constrained. This is putting a cap on its revenue growth for the near-term.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Source: Shutterstock Advanced Micro Devices is enjoying a nice uptrend that began at the start of 2019. Valuations are not that compelling, but markets are willing to pay a premium. AMD stock is undergoing a multiyear transition that led to multiple product launches across three main lines of business: server, desktop and graphics cards. All three of these products are potential growth generators for AMD.In the server space, EPYC's scalability and computing power give enterprise customers good value compared to Intel's Xeon chips. CEO Lisa Su may announce Ryzen getting a refresh with a third-generation release next month at Computex. As AMD discounts current-generation Ryzen CPUs for the PC and notebook markets, it could gain market share over Intel.In the GPU space, the announcement for Navi, a mid-range solution, could help AMD win back market share from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Nvidia leaped ahead of AMD with a GTX 1660 Ti release a few months ago. Rumors that a GTX 1650 for just $149 could further Nvidia's lead over AMD. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)Source: Elektor Labs via FlickrNXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) traded above $101 for the first time since Jul. 2018. The stock lost all its value when the Chinese government delayed approval of Qualcomm buying the firm. NXP then earned a break-up fee of $2 billion and proceeded to buy back billions of dollars' worth of its shares.Investors should look at NXPI stock again now that markets largely forgave the company for buying back stock at a higher price. Management has a five-year autonomous driving supply plan in place. And with more technology components in vehicles, NXPI will stand to benefit. At a 14.9 times trailing P/E and 11.2 times forward P/E, NXPI stock is an appropriate stock to buy for the spring 2019 session. * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth NXP is scheduled to reported earnings on April 29. The company's prudent cost management, design wins and supply deals in 2019 will attract more buyers to the stock, and its ability to focus back on its core strengths will drive the stock back to 52-week highs of over $122. And even at that level, the stock will trade at a discount relative to the free cash flow generation from its businesses. Micron Technology (MU)Source: Shutterstock Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) downside third-quarter guidance failed to scare off investors as the stock rose 28.5% during the quarter. In its second-quarter report, Micron reported DRAM sales falling 28%. NAND did better year-over-year and up 2%. On a quarter-over-quarter comparison, NAND revenue fell 18%.Micron forecast third-quarter revenue of around $4.8 billion and EPS of between 75 cents and 95 cents. Both numbers are below consensus estimates. Unsurprisingly, several analysts issued "hold" or "sell" calls on MU stock in the last month, according to Tipranks. But collectively, the 25 analysts covering the stock have an average price target of $54.41, representing an upside of around 26%.Investors should add MU stock to their portfolios this spring for the simple reason that NAND and DRAM prices appear to be stabilizing. Markets adjusted to the U.S.-China tariffs now and place. A refresh in premium smartphones, ongoing demand for memory and high-speed storage for servers and the firming up of PC sales will benefit Micron in the current period.As of this writing, Chris Lau owned shares of NXP Semiconductors. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 5 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees * 7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn't Over Yet * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm Compare Brokers The post 5 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for a Spring Charge appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Dow Jones Futures Signal Stock Market Losses; This Sector Leads Despite Plunging Earnings
Posted on Thursday April 18, 2019
Stock futures: Chip stocks such as AMD, Intel and Qualcomm are leading the current market rally even though they share this glaring weakness. Here's why.
7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn’t Over Yet
Posted on Wednesday April 17, 2019
Stocks are up big in 2019. Really big. Year-to-date, the S&P 500 as represented by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up more than 16%. To put that in perspective, this decade has only featured two years wherein stocks returned more than 15% for the whole year. The stock market has already done that this year, and we aren't even a third of the way through 2019. People are finding stocks to buy all over the place.Given how far and how fast socks have rallied in 2019, some market observers think that best of 2019 is in the rearview mirror. Indeed, some pundits think that stocks have already reached their 2019 peak, and that the rest of the year will play out like the last few months of 2018.I don't buy that bear thesis. Stocks aren't done rallying here. Granted, while we may not see the S&P 500 tack on another 15% from here into the end of the year, stocks should be able to grind higher over the next several months for several reasons.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm What are those reasons? Let's take a closer look at why stocks can and will head higher from here, and why you should still be open to new stocks to buy. The Economy Appears to Be Stabilizing & ImprovingAbove all else, stocks could remain in rally mode for the rest of 2019 because the global economy, which has slowed over the past several months, appears to be stabilizing and even showing signs of improving.The OECD area Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) has been slipping since late 2017, but February 2019's month-to-month drop in CLI was the smallest month-to-month drop since early 2018. Thus, the decline is moderating. This is true for the CLI in the EU, the U.S. and China.Broadly speaking, economic conditions globally are stabilizing in 2019, while they are actually improving in the U.S. and China. If these economic improvements persist, stocks will naturally remain on an upward trend. A Trade War Resolution Could Be Coming SoonSource: Shutterstock One of the biggest headwinds which weighed on stocks in late 2018 was rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China. But, those trade tensions have cooled substantially in 2019. Now, the consensus on Wall Street is that a trade war resolution is coming soon.If such a resolution does happen soon, stocks will rally in a big way. China economic activity will re-accelerate. So will U.S. economic activity. Corporate revenue and margin headwinds will move into the rear-view mirror. Profit estimates will move higher. Investor sentiment will improve. * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth In other words, I wouldn't want to be on the sidelines if and when a trade war resolution comes in 2019. The Fed Has Gone DovishSource: Shutterstock Another huge headwind which weighed on stocks in late 2018 was a hawkish Federal Reserve, which was seemingly determined to hike interest rates regardless of the incoming economic data.This headwind, too, has reversed course in 2019. The Fed has done a 180, going completely dovish and adopting a data-dependent policy. The data right now, while good, doesn't show any inflation. As such, the Fed appears ready to hold rates steady for the foreseeable future.Zero rate hikes into the end of the year could add some much-needed juice back into this economy. The consumer economy will pick back up thanks to lower borrowing costs. The housing sector will rebound. So will the auto sector. Industrial activity will pick back up. Broadly speaking, the whole economy should continue to improve so long as the Fed stays on the sidelines. That improvement will ultimately help push stocks higher. The Bond Market Has RalliedSource: United States Treasury, Bureau of Public Debt via WikimediaOne of the biggest thing for stocks is their valuation gap relative to bonds. In plain English, the bigger that gap, the more attractively valued stocks appear, and the more room they have to run higher from a relative valuation perspective.Right now, that gap is really big, mostly thanks to the Fed holding rates constant, which has led to a bond market rally, and kept the yields on bonds depressed. Specifically, the 10-Year Treasury Yield today sits at just 2.6%. The S&P 500 forward earnings yield is 6%. That is a 340 basis point spread between bond and stock yields, which is huge from a historical standpoint. * 7 Mid-Cap Stocks to Find the Market's Sweet Spot As such, relative to bonds, stocks remain historically undervalued. Because of this, until the bond market collapses, stocks will likely remain on an upward trajectory Valuations Are ReasonableSource: Shutterstock Even excluding valuation relative to bonds, stocks appear reasonably undervalued at current levels.The current forward-12-month price-to-earnings multiple for the S&P 500 is 16.7. That's only slightly above the five-year average forward multiple of 16.4. Plus, most analysts see 2019 as a weak year for earnings growth, and are projecting for 2020 earnings growth to be much better, given the global economic improvements outlined above.As such, fiscal 2020 EPS estimates for the S&P 500 currently sit at $187. A five-year average 16.4 forward multiple on $187 implies a 2019-end price target for the S&P 500 of over 3,050. The index currently sits around 2,900. Thus, upside into the end of the year looks good from a numbers perspective. The Market Has Leadership AgainSource: Shutterstock One thing close market observers always say is that in order for the market to head higher, you need market leadership. Translated, that basically means that financial markets are healthiest when there's a group of stocks which are paving the path for higher prices for the whole market.In the back half of 2016 and through all of 2017, the stock market had that leadership in large-cap tech stocks. The Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector rallied nearly 70% from July 2016 to December 2017, and that paved the path for a nearly 30% rally in the S&P 500. In 2018, the market lost that leadership. Tech stocks faltered, and the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector dropped 6%. That likewise led to a 6% drop in the S&P 500. * 7 Stocks That Can Outperform for Years As economic and financial market conditions have improved in 2019, though, tech leadership has returned to the market. Tech stocks are up a whopping 30% year-to-date, and that has powered a robust 15% gain for the S&P 500. So long as this tech leadership persists, stocks should broadly head higher. Individual Narratives Are ImprovingSource: Shutterstock At the end of the day, the stock market is a collection of a bunch of individual stocks. Thus, so long as those individual stocks continue to do well, the stock market will broadly continue to do well, too.Presently, the outlook for individual stocks to head higher is favorable. Narratives across the market are improving. Digital ad stocks like Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) are shaking off 2018 data privacy concerns and turning on the growth engines in 2019. Semiconductor stocks like Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) are rebounding amid signs that the worst of this recent cycle downturn is over. Retail stocks like Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) are pushing higher amid renewed consumer confidence. Housing stocks like KB Home (NYSE:KBH) are in full rebound mode as confidence has returned to the housing market. China stocks like JD (NASDAQ:JD) and Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) are likewise rebounding strongly as China's economy has improved in 2019.In other words, individual stock narratives are dramatically improving. So long as these improvements persists, stocks will broadly head higher.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long FB, GOOG, NVDA, WMT, HD, KBH, JD, and BABA. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth * This Is How You Beat Back a Bear Market * 7 Dental Stocks to Buy That Will Make You Smile Compare Brokers The post 7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn't Over Yet appeared first on InvestorPlace.